Statistiche / Calcio / Belgio. Reserve Pro League Belgio / RWDM U21 vs Westerlo U21

RWDM U21 vs Westerlo U21 Statistics & Analysis

RWDM U21 RWDM U21
Sep 18, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.26
3 1.34
xG Accuracy: 45%
Westerlo U21 Westerlo U21
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Westerlo U21 Westerlo U21 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 12, 2026 · 02:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8226260

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Westerlo U21 win · RWDM U21 0–3 Westerlo U21
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Reserve Pro League Belgio
  • Fixture: RWDM U21 vs Westerlo U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-18 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): RWDM U21 1.26 — Westerlo U21 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Reserve Pro League Belgio Reserve Pro League Belgio — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Waasland-Beveren U21 4 3 0 1 9
2 RWDM U21 4 2 1 1 7
3 RAAL La Louvière U21 4 2 1 1 7
4 Westerlo U21 3 2 0 1 6
5 RFC Seraing Reserve U21 3 2 0 1 6
6 Kortrijk U21 3 2 0 1 6
7 K. Beerschot V.A. U21 3 1 0 2 3
8 Francs Borains U21 3 1 0 2 3
9 RFC de Liège U21 3 1 0 2 3
10 Sp. Hasselt U21 3 0 1 2 1
11 Lierse K. U21 3 0 1 2 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Waasland-Beveren U21 4 16 6 +10 9
2 Westerlo U21 3 8 5 +3 6
3 Francs Borains U21 3 7 9 -2 3
4 RFC Seraing Reserve U21 3 6 4 +2 6
5 RAAL La Louvière U21 4 6 8 -2 7
6 RWDM U21 4 5 5 0 7
7 Kortrijk U21 3 4 2 +2 6
8 K. Beerschot V.A. U21 3 4 2 +2 3
9 Lierse K. U21 3 3 8 -5 1
10 Sp. Hasselt U21 3 2 6 -4 1
11 RFC de Liège U21 3 2 8 -6 3
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