CS Constantine vs ASO Chlef Statistics & Analysis

CS Constantine

Sep 12, 2026 - 20:00

3 1.35

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 45%

ASO Chlef

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 CS Constantine CS Constantine ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 03:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7470096

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result CS Constantine win · CS Constantine 3–0 ASO Chlef

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Ligue 1 Algeria
Fixture: CS Constantine vs ASO Chlef
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 20:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): CS Constantine 1.35 — ASO Chlef 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Ligue 1 Algeria — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	USM Alger	3	2	1	0	7
2	CR Belouizdad	3	2	1	0	7
3	MC Oran	2	2	0	0	6
4	Ben Aknoun	3	1	2	0	5
5	CS Constantine	3	1	1	1	4
6	Témouchent	3	1	1	1	4
7	ES Sétif	3	1	0	2	3
8	MC Alger	1	1	0	0	3
9	JS El Biar	3	1	0	2	3
10	JS Kabylie	2	1	0	1	3
11	Oued Akbou	3	1	0	2	3
12	MB Rouisset	3	1	0	2	3
13	Khenchela	2	0	2	0	2
14	US Biskra	3	0	2	1	2
15	ASO Chlef	3	0	1	2	1
16	JS Saoura	2	0	1	1	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	USM Alger	3	5	2	+3	7
2	CR Belouizdad	3	5	3	+2	7
3	ES Sétif	3	5	3	+2	3
4	CS Constantine	3	5	6	-1	4
5	Ben Aknoun	3	4	3	+1	5
6	JS El Biar	3	4	4	0	3
7	Oued Akbou	3	4	5	-1	3
8	MC Oran	2	3	0	+3	6
9	ASO Chlef	3	3	7	-4	1
10	MC Alger	1	2	0	+2	3
11	Témouchent	3	2	3	-1	4
12	MB Rouisset	3	2	3	-1	3
13	US Biskra	3	2	3	-1	2
14	JS Kabylie	2	1	1	0	3
15	Khenchela	2	1	1	0	2
16	JS Saoura	2	0	4	-4	1