GOŠK Gabela vs Sloboda Tuzla Statistics & Analysis

Sep 27, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.34
2 1.26
xG Accuracy: 56%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 GOŠK Gabela Sloboda Tuzla ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10097082

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sloboda Tuzla win · GOŠK Gabela 0–2 Sloboda Tuzla
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Prva Liga Federacije BiH
  • Fixture: GOŠK Gabela vs Sloboda Tuzla
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): GOŠK Gabela 1.34 — Sloboda Tuzla 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Prva Liga Federacije BiH Prva Liga Federacije BiH — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Travnik 7 7 0 0 21
2 Stupčanica Olovo 7 5 0 2 15
3 GOŠK Gabela 7 5 0 2 15
4 Posušje 7 4 3 0 15
5 Sloboda Tuzla 7 4 2 1 14
6 Igman Konjic 7 3 3 1 12
7 Jedinstvo Bihać 7 2 3 2 9
8 TOŠK Tešanj 7 3 0 4 9
9 Bratstvo Gračanica 7 1 5 1 8
10 Zvijezda Gradačac 7 2 1 4 7
11 Vitez 7 1 3 3 6
12 Budućnost Banovići 7 1 3 3 6
13 Tomislav 7 1 2 4 5
14 Radnik Hadžići 7 1 1 5 4
15 Rudar Kakanj 7 1 1 5 4
16 Čapljina 7 1 1 5 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Stupčanica Olovo 7 18 6 +12 15
2 Sloboda Tuzla 7 15 6 +9 14
3 Jedinstvo Bihać 7 15 9 +6 9
4 Travnik 7 14 3 +11 21
5 GOŠK Gabela 7 10 4 +6 15
6 Posušje 7 9 5 +4 15
7 Igman Konjic 7 9 6 +3 12
8 Bratstvo Gračanica 7 9 9 0 8
9 Budućnost Banovići 7 8 16 -8 6
10 Tomislav 7 8 19 -11 5
11 TOŠK Tešanj 7 7 9 -2 9
12 Zvijezda Gradačac 7 6 6 0 7
13 Vitez 7 5 9 -4 6
14 Čapljina 7 5 16 -11 4
15 Radnik Hadžići 7 3 9 -6 4
16 Rudar Kakanj 7 3 12 -9 4