Čapljina vs Posušje Statistics & Analysis

Sep 12, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Čapljina Posušje ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7450166

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Posušje win · Čapljina 0–1 Posušje
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Prva Liga Federacije BiH
  • Fixture: Čapljina vs Posušje
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Čapljina 1.32 — Posušje 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Prva Liga Federacije BiH Prva Liga Federacije BiH — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Travnik 6 6 0 0 18
2 Stupčanica Olovo 6 5 0 1 15
3 GOŠK Gabela 6 5 0 1 15
4 Posušje 6 4 2 0 14
5 Sloboda Tuzla 6 3 2 1 11
6 Igman Konjic 6 3 2 1 11
7 Jedinstvo Bihać 6 2 3 1 9
8 Bratstvo Gračanica 6 1 4 1 7
9 TOŠK Tešanj 6 2 0 4 6
10 Budućnost Banovići 6 1 2 3 5
11 Zvijezda Gradačac 6 1 1 4 4
12 Radnik Hadžići 6 1 1 4 4
13 Čapljina 6 1 1 4 4
14 Tomislav 6 1 1 4 4
15 Vitez 6 0 3 3 3
16 Rudar Kakanj 6 1 0 5 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Stupčanica Olovo 6 18 4 +14 15
2 Jedinstvo Bihać 6 14 6 +8 9
3 Travnik 6 13 3 +10 18
4 Sloboda Tuzla 6 13 6 +7 11
5 GOŠK Gabela 6 10 2 +8 15
6 Posušje 6 8 4 +4 14
7 Bratstvo Gračanica 6 8 8 0 7
8 Igman Konjic 6 7 4 +3 11
9 Budućnost Banovići 6 7 15 -8 5
10 Tomislav 6 6 17 -11 4
11 TOŠK Tešanj 6 5 9 -4 6
12 Čapljina 6 5 15 -10 4
13 Vitez 6 4 9 -5 3
14 Zvijezda Gradačac 6 3 5 -2 4
15 Radnik Hadžići 6 3 8 -5 4
16 Rudar Kakanj 6 2 11 -9 3