Statistiche / Calcio / Germania. Oberliga Mittelrhein / Frechen vs Siegburger SV

Frechen vs Siegburger SV Statistics & Analysis

Frechen Frechen
Sep 20, 2026 - 13:30
2 1.17
2 1.43
xG Accuracy: 68%
Siegburger SV Siegburger SV
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Siegburger SV Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8677941

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Frechen 2–2 Siegburger SV
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Oberliga Mittelrhein
  • Fixture: Frechen vs Siegburger SV
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
  • xG (showing): Frechen 1.17 — Siegburger SV 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Oberliga Mittelrhein Oberliga Mittelrhein — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Wegberg-Beeck 5 4 1 0 13
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 4 3 1 0 10
3 VfL Vichttal 5 2 2 1 8
4 SSV Merten 4 2 1 1 7
5 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 4 2 1 1 7
6 Fortuna Colonia II 3 2 0 1 6
7 Chlodwig Zulpich 4 2 0 2 6
8 Porz 4 1 2 1 5
9 Hürth 4 1 2 1 5
10 Siegburger SV 4 1 2 1 5
11 Frechen 4 1 1 2 4
12 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 5 1 1 3 4
13 Düren Merzenich 5 1 1 3 4
14 Hennef 05 4 1 1 2 4
15 Bornheim 4 1 0 3 3
16 TuS BW Königsdorf 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 VfL Vichttal 5 16 10 +6 8
2 Wegberg-Beeck 5 15 4 +11 13
3 Eintracht Hohkeppel 4 13 2 +11 10
4 SSV Merten 4 10 5 +5 7
5 Fortuna Colonia II 3 9 6 +3 6
6 Frechen 4 9 10 -1 4
7 Chlodwig Zulpich 4 9 14 -5 6
8 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 4 8 7 +1 7
9 Siegburger SV 4 8 9 -1 5
10 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 5 7 10 -3 4
11 Düren Merzenich 5 7 11 -4 4
12 Porz 4 6 6 0 5
13 Bornheim 4 6 8 -2 3
14 Hürth 4 3 3 0 5
15 Hennef 05 4 2 7 -5 4
16 TuS BW Königsdorf 3 2 18 -16 0
Oberliga Mittelrhein Germania. Oberliga Mittelrhein Pronostici