Langenthal vs Muttenz Statistics & Analysis

Aug 30, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.34
1 1.26
xG Accuracy: 78%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Langenthal Langenthal ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 01:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5294009

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Langenthal win · Langenthal 2–1 Muttenz
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 2
  • Fixture: Langenthal vs Muttenz
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-30 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Langenthal 1.34 — Muttenz 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 2 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Langenthal 7 6 1 0 19
2 Courtételle 7 4 1 2 13
3 Buochs 7 4 1 2 13
4 Muri-Gümligen 7 4 1 2 13
5 Schötz 7 3 2 2 11
6 Delémont 7 3 2 2 11
7 Muttenz 7 3 1 3 10
8 Thun II 7 2 3 2 9
9 Grasshopper II 7 3 0 4 9
10 Bassecourt 7 3 0 4 9
11 Concordia Basilea 7 2 2 3 8
12 FC Wohlen 7 2 2 3 8
13 Solothurn 7 2 1 4 7
14 Black Stars 7 1 4 2 7
15 Zug 7 2 1 4 7
16 Münsingen 7 0 2 5 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Langenthal 7 21 12 +9 19
2 Solothurn 7 16 17 -1 7
3 Courtételle 7 15 7 +8 13
4 Buochs 7 15 11 +4 13
5 Schötz 7 14 12 +2 11
6 Thun II 7 14 14 0 9
7 Delémont 7 10 8 +2 11
8 Muttenz 7 10 8 +2 10
9 Concordia Basilea 7 10 10 0 8
10 Zug 7 10 17 -7 7
11 Muri-Gümligen 7 9 7 +2 13
12 Grasshopper II 7 9 10 -1 9
13 Bassecourt 7 9 13 -4 9
14 FC Wohlen 7 6 7 -1 8
15 Münsingen 7 6 19 -13 2
16 Black Stars 7 5 7 -2 7