Statistiche / Calcio / Cipro. Seconda Divisione Cipriota / Ermis Aradippou vs PAEEK

Ermis Aradippou vs PAEEK Statistics & Analysis

Ermis Aradippou Ermis Aradippou
Sep 20, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.31
2 1.29
xG Accuracy: 76%
PAEEK PAEEK
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Ermis Aradippou PAEEK ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8689986

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result PAEEK win · Ermis Aradippou 1–2 PAEEK
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Seconda Divisione Cipriota
  • Fixture: Ermis Aradippou vs PAEEK
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Ermis Aradippou 1.31 — PAEEK 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 42.9% · Probability edge: +5.3 pts · Est. EV: +8.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Seconda Divisione Cipriota Seconda Divisione Cipriota — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Ethnikos Achna 2 2 0 0 6
2 Enosis Neon Paralimni 2 1 1 0 4
3 ASIL Lysi 2 1 1 0 4
4 Iraklis Yerolakkou 2 1 1 0 4
5 Doxa Katokopias 2 1 1 0 4
6 APEA Akrotiri 2 1 1 0 4
7 PAEEK 2 1 0 1 3
8 Polemidion 2 1 0 1 3
9 Spartakos Kitiou 2 1 0 1 3
10 Ermis Aradippou 2 1 0 1 3
11 Digenis Morphou 2 0 1 1 1
12 MEAP Nisou 2 0 1 1 1
13 Ayia Napa 2 0 1 1 1
14 Akritas Chlorakas 2 0 1 1 1
15 Halkanoras Idaliou 2 0 1 1 1
16 Anagennisi Deryneia 2 0 0 2 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Ethnikos Achna 2 7 2 +5 6
2 Doxa Katokopias 2 5 4 +1 4
3 ASIL Lysi 2 4 2 +2 4
4 Spartakos Kitiou 2 4 2 +2 3
5 APEA Akrotiri 2 4 3 +1 4
6 PAEEK 2 4 5 -1 3
7 Enosis Neon Paralimni 2 3 0 +3 4
8 Iraklis Yerolakkou 2 3 1 +2 4
9 Ermis Aradippou 2 3 2 +1 3
10 Ayia Napa 2 2 4 -2 1
11 Polemidion 2 1 3 -2 3
12 Akritas Chlorakas 2 1 3 -2 1
13 MEAP Nisou 2 1 4 -3 1
14 Anagennisi Deryneia 2 1 5 -4 0
15 Digenis Morphou 2 0 1 -1 1
16 Halkanoras Idaliou 2 0 2 -2 1