Statistiche / Calcio / Cipro. Seconda Divisione Cipriota / Digenis Morphou vs APEA Akrotiri

Digenis Morphou vs APEA Akrotiri Statistics & Analysis

Digenis Morphou Digenis Morphou
Sep 19, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.28
1 1.32
xG Accuracy: 64%
APEA Akrotiri APEA Akrotiri
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 APEA Akrotiri APEA Akrotiri ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8703040

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result APEA Akrotiri win · Digenis Morphou 0–1 APEA Akrotiri
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Seconda Divisione Cipriota
  • Fixture: Digenis Morphou vs APEA Akrotiri
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Digenis Morphou 1.28 — APEA Akrotiri 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +2.0%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 22, 2026 (UTC)

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Seconda Divisione Cipriota Seconda Divisione Cipriota — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Enosis Neon Paralimni 1 1 0 0 3
2 Ethnikos Achna 1 1 0 0 3
3 ASIL Lysi 1 1 0 0 3
4 Ermis Aradippou 1 1 0 0 3
5 Iraklis Yerolakkou 1 1 0 0 3
6 Polemidion 1 1 0 0 3
7 Doxa Katokopias 1 0 1 0 1
8 APEA Akrotiri 1 0 1 0 1
9 Digenis Morphou 1 0 1 0 1
10 MEAP Nisou 1 0 1 0 1
11 Spartakos Kitiou 1 0 0 1 0
12 PAEEK 1 0 0 1 0
13 Ayia Napa 1 0 0 1 0
14 Halkanoras Idaliou 1 0 0 1 0
15 Akritas Chlorakas 1 0 0 1 0
16 Anagennisi Deryneia 1 0 0 1 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Ethnikos Achna 1 4 2 +2 3
2 Enosis Neon Paralimni 1 3 0 +3 3
3 ASIL Lysi 1 3 1 +2 3
4 Doxa Katokopias 1 3 3 0 1
5 APEA Akrotiri 1 3 3 0 1
6 Ermis Aradippou 1 2 0 +2 3
7 Iraklis Yerolakkou 1 2 0 +2 3
8 PAEEK 1 2 4 -2 0
9 Polemidion 1 1 0 +1 3
10 Ayia Napa 1 1 3 -2 0
11 Digenis Morphou 1 0 0 0 1
12 MEAP Nisou 1 0 0 0 1
13 Spartakos Kitiou 1 0 1 -1 0
14 Halkanoras Idaliou 1 0 2 -2 0
15 Akritas Chlorakas 1 0 2 -2 0
16 Anagennisi Deryneia 1 0 3 -3 0