Casertana vs Scafatese Statistics & Analysis

Casertana

Sep 06, 2026 - 19:00

2 1.35

2 1.25

xG Accuracy: 68%

Scafatese

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Casertana Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 08:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6373025

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Casertana 2–2 Scafatese

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Serie C - Girone C
Fixture: Casertana vs Scafatese
Kickoff: 2026-09-06 19:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Casertana 1.35 — Scafatese 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Serie C - Girone C — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Bari	7	5	1	1	16
2	Sorrento	6	5	0	1	15
3	Potenza	6	4	1	1	13
4	AZ Picerno	7	4	0	3	12
5	Casertana	6	3	3	0	12
6	Audace Cerignola	7	3	1	3	10
7	Inter U23	6	3	1	2	10
8	Casarano	6	3	1	2	10
9	Salernitana	7	2	3	2	9
10	SS Monopoli	6	2	2	2	8
11	Cavese	7	2	2	3	8
12	Catania	6	2	1	3	7
13	Barletta	6	1	4	1	7
14	Scafatese	6	1	4	1	7
15	Team Altamura	6	2	1	3	7
16	Savoia	7	1	3	3	6
17	Foggia	6	1	2	3	5
18	Giugliano	6	1	1	4	4
19	Cosenza	7	0	2	5	2
20	Crotone	7	1	3	3	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	AZ Picerno	7	14	11	+3	12
2	Potenza	6	13	8	+5	13
3	Cavese	7	12	14	-2	8
4	Audace Cerignola	7	11	7	+4	10
5	Casertana	6	11	8	+3	12
6	Inter U23	6	11	11	0	10
7	Giugliano	6	11	16	-5	4
8	Bari	7	10	4	+6	16
9	Sorrento	6	10	5	+5	15
10	Catania	6	10	8	+2	7
11	Salernitana	7	10	9	+1	9
12	Barletta	6	10	9	+1	7
13	Casarano	6	10	10	0	10
14	Savoia	7	9	11	-2	6
15	Scafatese	6	8	9	-1	7
16	Crotone	7	7	10	-3	0
17	SS Monopoli	6	5	4	+1	8
18	Cosenza	7	5	16	-11	2
19	Foggia	6	4	7	-3	5
20	Team Altamura	6	4	8	-4	7