Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto Statistics & Analysis

Vis Pesaro

Oct 10, 2026 - 12:30

2 1.32

3 1.28

xG Accuracy: 52%

Grosseto

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Vis Pesaro Grosseto ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13204868

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Grosseto win · Vis Pesaro 2–3 Grosseto

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Serie C - Girone B
Fixture: Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Vis Pesaro 1.32 — Grosseto 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Serie C - Girone B — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Spezia	7	6	1	0	19
2	Ravenna	7	5	2	0	17
3	Grosseto	8	4	3	1	15
4	Reggiana	7	4	2	1	14
5	Livorno	8	4	2	2	14
6	Perugia	8	4	1	3	13
7	Città di Campobasso	7	3	2	2	11
8	Torres	7	3	2	2	11
9	Pescara	8	3	2	3	11
10	Forlì	8	2	4	2	10
11	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	7	2	3	2	9
12	Atalanta II	6	3	0	3	9
13	Vado	8	2	2	4	8
14	Ostia Mare	7	2	1	4	7
15	Pineto	7	1	4	2	7
16	Gubbio	8	2	1	5	7
17	Sambenedettese	8	1	2	5	5
18	Latina	6	1	2	3	5
19	Vis Pesaro	7	1	1	5	4
20	Pianese	7	0	3	4	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Spezia	7	14	4	+10	19
2	Grosseto	8	14	7	+7	15
3	Forlì	8	13	12	+1	10
4	Ravenna	7	12	2	+10	17
5	Reggiana	7	12	6	+6	14
6	Città di Campobasso	7	11	10	+1	11
7	Sambenedettese	8	11	14	-3	5
8	Livorno	8	10	9	+1	14
9	Pescara	8	10	11	-1	11
10	Gubbio	8	10	16	-6	7
11	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	7	9	7	+2	9
12	Perugia	8	9	12	-3	13
13	Torres	7	8	8	0	11
14	Ostia Mare	7	8	9	-1	7
15	Vis Pesaro	7	8	16	-8	4
16	Atalanta II	6	7	9	-2	9
17	Vado	8	6	8	-2	8
18	Pineto	7	6	10	-4	7
19	Latina	6	5	8	-3	5
20	Pianese	7	4	9	-5	3