Torres vs Ostia Mare Statistics & Analysis

Torres

Sep 13, 2026 - 13:00

3 1.32

2 1.28

xG Accuracy: 52%

Ostia Mare

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Torres Torres ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7435574

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Torres win · Torres 3–2 Ostia Mare

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Serie C - Girone B
Fixture: Torres vs Ostia Mare
Kickoff: 2026-09-13 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Torres 1.32 — Ostia Mare 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Serie C - Girone B — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Spezia	6	5	1	0	16
2	Grosseto	7	4	3	0	15
3	Ravenna	6	4	2	0	14
4	Reggiana	6	4	2	0	14
5	Livorno	7	4	2	1	14
6	Città di Campobasso	7	3	2	2	11
7	Torres	7	3	2	2	11
8	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	6	2	3	1	9
9	Forlì	6	2	3	1	9
10	Atalanta II	6	3	0	3	9
11	Pescara	6	2	2	2	8
12	Gubbio	6	2	1	3	7
13	Pineto	7	1	4	2	7
14	Perugia	6	2	1	3	7
15	Ostia Mare	6	2	0	4	6
16	Latina	6	1	2	3	5
17	Vado	7	1	2	4	5
18	Pianese	7	0	3	4	3
19	Sambenedettese	7	0	2	5	2
20	Vis Pesaro	6	0	1	5	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Grosseto	7	13	4	+9	15
2	Spezia	6	12	3	+9	16
3	Reggiana	6	12	5	+7	14
4	Forlì	6	12	10	+2	9
5	Città di Campobasso	7	11	10	+1	11
6	Ravenna	6	10	2	+8	14
7	Livorno	7	10	8	+2	14
8	Gubbio	6	9	11	-2	7
9	Guidonia Montecelio 1937	6	8	5	+3	9
10	Torres	7	8	8	0	11
11	Pescara	6	8	9	-1	8
12	Sambenedettese	7	8	13	-5	2
13	Ostia Mare	6	7	8	-1	6
14	Atalanta II	6	7	9	-2	9
15	Pineto	7	6	10	-4	7
16	Vis Pesaro	6	6	15	-9	1
17	Latina	6	5	8	-3	5
18	Vado	7	5	8	-3	5
19	Perugia	6	5	11	-6	7
20	Pianese	7	4	9	-5	3