Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli Statistics & Analysis

Union Brescia

Oct 09, 2026 - 18:30

2 1.46

0 1.14

xG Accuracy: 63%

Pro Vercelli

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Union Brescia Union Brescia ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12705297

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Union Brescia win · Union Brescia 2–0 Pro Vercelli

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Serie C - Girone A
Fixture: Union Brescia vs Pro Vercelli
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 18:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 42.9% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.9%
xG (showing): Union Brescia 1.46 — Pro Vercelli 1.14 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Serie C - Girone A — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Cittadella	9	8	0	1	24
2	Union Brescia	9	5	4	0	19
3	Arzignano Valchiampo	9	5	2	2	17
4	Ospitaletto	8	4	3	1	15
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	14
6	Treviso	8	3	4	1	13
7	Desenzano Calvina	9	3	4	2	13
8	UC AlbinoLeffe	9	3	3	3	12
9	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	11
10	Lumezzane	8	3	2	3	11
11	Pergolettese	9	2	5	2	11
12	Dolomiti Bellunesi	9	2	4	3	10
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	9
14	Pro Vercelli	9	2	3	4	9
15	Lecco	8	2	3	3	9
16	Athletic Carpi	9	1	3	5	6
17	Folgore Caratese	8	1	3	4	6
18	Juventus U23	8	1	3	4	6
19	Giana Erminio	8	0	4	4	4
20	Renate	8	0	3	5	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Cittadella	9	16	4	+12	24
2	Union Brescia	9	16	6	+10	19
3	Ospitaletto	8	14	6	+8	15
4	Arzignano Valchiampo	9	14	10	+4	17
5	UC AlbinoLeffe	9	14	13	+1	12
6	Alcione Milano	8	12	13	-1	11
7	Trento	8	11	5	+6	14
8	Athletic Carpi	9	11	19	-8	6
9	Lumezzane	8	10	11	-1	11
10	Folgore Caratese	8	9	12	-3	6
11	Treviso	8	8	6	+2	13
12	Desenzano Calvina	9	8	7	+1	13
13	Novara	9	8	12	-4	9
14	Pro Vercelli	9	8	13	-5	9
15	Juventus U23	8	8	15	-7	6
16	Dolomiti Bellunesi	9	7	9	-2	10
17	Lecco	8	6	8	-2	9
18	Giana Erminio	8	6	10	-4	4
19	Renate	8	6	12	-6	3
20	Pergolettese	9	5	6	-1	11