Gurten vs Wals-Grünau Statistics & Analysis

Gurten

Oct 09, 2026 - 17:00

1 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 64%

Wals-Grünau

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Gurten Gurten ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12698664

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Gurten win · Gurten 1–0 Wals-Grünau

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Regionalliga Nord Austria
Fixture: Gurten vs Wals-Grünau
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Gurten 1.32 — Wals-Grünau 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga Nord Austria — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Wallern / Marienkirchen	11	8	1	2	25
2	LASK Juniors	11	7	2	2	23
3	Wals-Grünau	12	6	5	1	23
4	Gurten	12	6	3	3	21
5	Kuchl	11	5	3	3	18
6	Bad Schallerbach	11	5	2	4	17
7	Grödig	11	5	1	5	16
8	SK Vorwärts Steyr	11	4	3	4	15
9	TSV St. Johann	11	4	2	5	14
10	Ried II	12	4	2	6	14
11	Leonfelden	11	3	4	4	13
12	Seekirchen	11	3	3	5	12
13	UFC Hallein	11	2	3	6	9
14	Wohnbau Dietach	11	2	2	7	8
15	Pinzgau Saalfelden	11	1	2	8	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	LASK Juniors	11	35	11	+24	23
2	Wallern / Marienkirchen	11	31	10	+21	25
3	Wals-Grünau	12	23	14	+9	23
4	Bad Schallerbach	11	23	16	+7	17
5	Kuchl	11	23	19	+4	18
6	Leonfelden	11	21	24	-3	13
7	Gurten	12	19	11	+8	21
8	Grödig	11	18	19	-1	16
9	SK Vorwärts Steyr	11	15	14	+1	15
10	Ried II	12	15	28	-13	14
11	Pinzgau Saalfelden	11	13	28	-15	5
12	Wohnbau Dietach	11	13	32	-19	8
13	Seekirchen	11	12	17	-5	12
14	TSV St. Johann	11	11	16	-5	14
15	UFC Hallein	11	11	24	-13	9