Grödig vs Leonfelden Statistics & Analysis

Grödig

Sep 19, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 85%

⚽

Leonfelden

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Grödig Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8667139

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Grödig 1–1 Leonfelden

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga Nord Austria
Fixture: Grödig vs Leonfelden
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Grödig 1.32 — Leonfelden 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga Nord Austria — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Wals-Grünau	10	6	4	0	22
2	Wallern / Marienkirchen	9	6	1	2	19
3	Gurten	9	5	1	3	16
4	LASK Juniors	8	4	2	2	14
5	Bad Schallerbach	9	4	2	3	14
6	Kuchl	9	4	2	3	14
7	Grödig	8	4	1	3	13
8	TSV St. Johann	9	4	1	4	13
9	SK Vorwärts Steyr	8	3	2	3	11
10	Leonfelden	8	2	4	2	10
11	Ried II	9	3	1	5	10
12	Seekirchen	9	2	2	5	8
13	Wohnbau Dietach	9	2	2	5	8
14	UFC Hallein	9	1	3	5	6
15	Pinzgau Saalfelden	9	1	2	6	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Wallern / Marienkirchen	9	26	9	+17	19
2	LASK Juniors	8	24	10	+14	14
3	Wals-Grünau	10	21	11	+10	22
4	Bad Schallerbach	9	20	14	+6	14
5	Gurten	9	18	11	+7	16
6	Kuchl	9	18	15	+3	14
7	Leonfelden	8	15	16	-1	10
8	Grödig	8	12	10	+2	13
9	Pinzgau Saalfelden	9	12	21	-9	5
10	TSV St. Johann	9	11	15	-4	13
11	Wohnbau Dietach	9	11	24	-13	8
12	SK Vorwärts Steyr	8	10	11	-1	11
13	Ried II	9	10	20	-10	10
14	UFC Hallein	9	9	21	-12	6
15	Seekirchen	9	8	17	-9	8