Wolfsberg vs Velden Statistics & Analysis

Wolfsberg

Oct 09, 2026 - 17:00

1 1.32

2 1.28

xG Accuracy: 75%

Velden

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Wolfsberg Velden ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12698569

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Velden win · Wolfsberg 1–2 Velden

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Regionalliga Süd Austria
Fixture: Wolfsberg vs Velden
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Wolfsberg 1.32 — Velden 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga Süd Austria — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Velden	10	6	4	0	22
2	Wolfsberger AC II	2	1	1	0	4
2	Austria Klagenfurt	10	6	1	3	19
3	Deutschlandsberger SC	9	5	3	1	18
4	Völkermarkt	10	5	2	3	17
5	Treibach	10	5	2	3	17
6	Kalsdorf	9	5	2	2	17
7	Wolfsberger AC	10	4	3	3	15
8	Weiz	9	3	5	1	14
9	SV Lafnitz	9	3	4	2	13
10	Allerheiligen	9	3	3	3	12
11	Tillmitsch	9	2	4	3	10
12	Bleiburg	10	2	3	5	9
13	Wolfsberg	10	1	4	5	7
14	Hartberg (Am)	9	1	3	5	6
15	Gleisdorf 09	9	1	2	6	5
16	Donau Klagenfurt	10	0	3	7	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Völkermarkt	10	20	10	+10	17
2	Allerheiligen	9	19	16	+3	12
3	SV Lafnitz	9	19	19	0	13
4	Velden	10	18	8	+10	22
5	Deutschlandsberger SC	9	18	11	+7	18
6	Treibach	10	18	11	+7	17
7	Austria Klagenfurt	10	18	14	+4	19
8	Kalsdorf	9	16	11	+5	17
9	Wolfsberger AC	10	16	15	+1	15
10	Weiz	9	15	10	+5	14
11	Bleiburg	10	15	18	-3	9
12	Tillmitsch	9	14	16	-2	10
13	Hartberg (Am)	9	13	21	-8	6
14	Gleisdorf 09	9	8	18	-10	5
15	Donau Klagenfurt	10	8	20	-12	3
16	Wolfsberg	10	7	24	-17	7
17	Wolfsberger AC II	2	4	2	+2	4