Hartberg (Am) vs Gleisdorf 09 Statistics & Analysis

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Hartberg (Am)

Sep 26, 2026 - 14:30

4 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 34%

Gleisdorf 09

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Hartberg (Am) Hartberg (Am) ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 06:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10142497

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Hartberg (Am) win · Hartberg (Am) 4–0 Gleisdorf 09

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Regionalliga Süd Austria
Fixture: Hartberg (Am) vs Gleisdorf 09
Kickoff: 2026-09-27 08:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Hartberg (Am) 1.32 — Gleisdorf 09 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Regionalliga Süd Austria — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Velden	9	5	4	0	19
2	Wolfsberger AC II	2	1	1	0	4
2	Austria Klagenfurt	9	6	1	2	19
3	Treibach	9	5	2	2	17
4	Kalsdorf	8	5	2	1	17
5	Deutschlandsberger SC	8	5	2	1	17
6	Völkermarkt	9	4	2	3	14
7	Weiz	8	3	4	1	13
8	SV Lafnitz	8	3	3	2	12
9	Wolfsberger AC	9	3	3	3	12
10	Allerheiligen	8	2	3	3	9
11	Tillmitsch	8	2	3	3	9
12	Wolfsberg	9	1	4	4	7
13	Bleiburg	9	1	3	5	6
14	Hartberg (Am)	8	1	2	5	5
15	Gleisdorf 09	8	1	1	6	4
16	Donau Klagenfurt	9	0	3	6	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Deutschlandsberger SC	8	18	11	+7	17
2	Austria Klagenfurt	9	18	12	+6	19
3	Treibach	9	17	9	+8	17
4	Velden	9	16	7	+9	19
5	Kalsdorf	8	16	8	+8	17
6	Völkermarkt	9	16	9	+7	14
7	SV Lafnitz	8	16	16	0	12
8	Allerheiligen	8	16	16	0	9
9	Weiz	8	15	10	+5	13
10	Wolfsberger AC	9	14	15	-1	12
11	Tillmitsch	8	14	16	-2	9
12	Bleiburg	9	12	17	-5	6
13	Hartberg (Am)	8	10	18	-8	5
14	Gleisdorf 09	8	8	18	-10	4
15	Donau Klagenfurt	9	7	17	-10	3
16	Wolfsberg	9	6	20	-14	7
17	Wolfsberger AC II	2	4	2	+2	4