Wolfsberg vs Völkermarkt Statistics & Analysis

Aug 14, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.32
5 1.28
xG Accuracy: 25%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Wolfsberg Völkermarkt ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 08, 2026 · 01:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3232360

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Völkermarkt win · Wolfsberg 0–5 Völkermarkt
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Regionalliga Süd Austria
  • Fixture: Wolfsberg vs Völkermarkt
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-14 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Wolfsberg 1.32 — Völkermarkt 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Regionalliga Süd Austria Regionalliga Süd Austria — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Austria Klagenfurt 8 6 1 1 19
2 Wolfsberger AC II 2 1 1 0 4
2 Velden 9 5 4 0 19
3 Deutschlandsberger SC 8 5 2 1 17
4 Völkermarkt 9 4 2 3 14
5 Kalsdorf 7 4 2 1 14
6 Treibach 8 4 2 2 14
7 Weiz 8 3 4 1 13
8 SV Lafnitz 8 3 3 2 12
9 Allerheiligen 8 2 3 3 9
10 Tillmitsch 7 2 3 2 9
11 Wolfsberger AC 8 2 3 3 9
12 Wolfsberg 9 1 4 4 7
13 Bleiburg 9 1 3 5 6
14 Gleisdorf 09 7 1 1 5 4
15 Donau Klagenfurt 8 0 3 5 3
16 Hartberg (Am) 7 0 2 5 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Austria Klagenfurt 8 18 9 +9 19
2 Deutschlandsberger SC 8 18 11 +7 17
3 Velden 9 16 7 +9 19
4 Völkermarkt 9 16 9 +7 14
5 SV Lafnitz 8 16 16 0 12
6 Allerheiligen 8 16 16 0 9
7 Weiz 8 15 10 +5 13
8 Kalsdorf 7 14 7 +7 14
9 Treibach 8 14 9 +5 14
10 Tillmitsch 7 13 14 -1 9
11 Bleiburg 9 12 17 -5 6
12 Wolfsberger AC 8 11 15 -4 9
13 Gleisdorf 09 7 8 14 -6 4
14 Donau Klagenfurt 8 7 14 -7 3
15 Hartberg (Am) 7 6 18 -12 2
16 Wolfsberg 9 6 20 -14 7
17 Wolfsberger AC II 2 4 2 +2 4