Statistiche / Calcio / Paesi Bassi. Eredivisie U21 / De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen Under 21

De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen Under 21 Statistics & Analysis

De Graafschap U21 De Graafschap U21
Aug 29, 2026 - 10:30
1 1.37
2 1.23
xG Accuracy: 73%
Groningen Under 21 Groningen Under 21
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 De Graafschap U21 Groningen Under 21 ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5135232

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Groningen Under 21 win · De Graafschap U21 1–2 Groningen Under 21
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Eredivisie U21
  • Fixture: De Graafschap U21 vs Groningen Under 21
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
  • xG (showing): De Graafschap U21 1.37 — Groningen Under 21 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Eredivisie U21 Eredivisie U21 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Feyenoord Under 21 4 4 0 0 12
2 De Graafschap U21 4 3 0 1 9
3 Cambuur U21 4 2 1 1 7
4 Groningen Under 21 4 2 1 1 7
5 PEC Zwolle U21 4 2 0 2 6
6 Go Ahead Eagles Under 21 4 0 2 2 2
7 Willem II U21 4 0 1 3 1
8 Twente / Heracles U21 4 0 1 3 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Feyenoord Under 21 4 14 3 +11 12
2 Cambuur U21 4 12 5 +7 7
3 Groningen Under 21 4 8 6 +2 7
4 De Graafschap U21 4 7 3 +4 9
5 PEC Zwolle U21 4 5 7 -2 6
6 Willem II U21 4 5 9 -4 1
7 Go Ahead Eagles Under 21 4 4 12 -8 2
8 Twente / Heracles U21 4 2 12 -10 1
Eredivisie U21 Paesi Bassi. Eredivisie U21 Pronostici