Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. FA Women's Super League / Manchester United Women vs Liverpool Women

Manchester United Women vs Liverpool Women Statistics & Analysis

Manchester United Women Manchester United Women
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:30
1 0.80
0 0.66
xG Accuracy: 79%
Liverpool Women Liverpool Women
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Manchester United Women Manchester United Women ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11230672

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Manchester United Women win · Manchester United Women 1–0 Liverpool Women
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: FA Women's Super League
  • Fixture: Manchester United Women vs Liverpool Women
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.5% · Draw 35.1% · Away 28.4%
  • xG (showing): Manchester United Women 0.8 — Liverpool Women 0.66 (total xG ≈ 1.46)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 81.9% · Implied: 41.4% · Probability edge: +40.5 pts · Est. EV: +93.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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FA Women's Super League FA Women's Super League — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Manchester City Women 4 4 0 0 12
2 Tottenham Hotspur Women 4 3 1 0 10
3 Chelsea W 4 3 1 0 10
4 London City Lionesses 4 3 0 1 9
5 Liverpool Women 5 2 1 2 7
6 Manchester United Women 5 2 1 2 7
7 Everton Women 4 2 0 2 6
8 Arsenal Women 4 1 2 1 5
9 Crystal Palace Women 4 1 2 1 5
10 West Ham Women 4 1 0 3 3
11 Brighton & Hove Albion Women 4 0 2 2 2
12 Birmingham City Women 4 0 2 2 2
13 Aston Villa Women 4 0 2 2 2
14 Charlton Athletic Women 4 0 0 4 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Tottenham Hotspur Women 4 15 2 +13 10
2 Manchester City Women 4 12 4 +8 12
3 Chelsea W 4 9 1 +8 10
4 London City Lionesses 4 9 4 +5 9
5 Liverpool Women 5 9 6 +3 7
6 Birmingham City Women 4 6 10 -4 2
7 Manchester United Women 5 5 9 -4 7
8 West Ham Women 4 4 7 -3 3
9 Crystal Palace Women 4 4 10 -6 5
10 Brighton & Hove Albion Women 4 3 6 -3 2
11 Aston Villa Women 4 3 10 -7 2
12 Arsenal Women 4 2 2 0 5
13 Everton Women 4 2 3 -1 6
14 Charlton Athletic Women 4 1 10 -9 0
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 London City Lionesses 4 1.2 0.2 +1.0 9
2 Manchester United Women 5 0.2 1.2 -1.0 7
3 Manchester City Women 4 — — — 12
4 Tottenham Hotspur Women 4 — — — 10
5 Chelsea W 4 — — — 10
6 Liverpool Women 5 — — — 7
7 Everton Women 4 — — — 6
8 Arsenal Women 4 — — — 5
9 Crystal Palace Women 4 — — — 5
10 West Ham Women 4 — — — 3
11 Brighton & Hove Albion Women 4 — — — 2
12 Birmingham City Women 4 — — — 2
13 Aston Villa Women 4 — — — 2
14 Charlton Athletic Women 4 — — — 0