Statistiche / Calcio / Inghilterra. FA Women's Super League / Tottenham Hotspur Women vs Aston Villa Women

Tottenham Hotspur Women vs Aston Villa Women Statistics & Analysis

Sep 27, 2026 - 13:00
4 0.80
0 0.66
xG Accuracy: 35%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No No ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Tottenham Hotspur Women Tottenham Hotspur Women ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10091797

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tottenham Hotspur Women win · Tottenham Hotspur Women 4–0 Aston Villa Women
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: FA Women's Super League
  • Fixture: Tottenham Hotspur Women vs Aston Villa Women
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.0% · Draw 34.5% · Away 23.4%
  • xG (showing): Tottenham Hotspur Women 0.8 — Aston Villa Women 0.66 (total xG ≈ 1.46)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.2%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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FA Women's Super League FA Women's Super League — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Manchester City Women 5 5 0 0 15
2 Chelsea W 5 4 1 0 13
3 London City Lionesses 5 4 0 1 12
4 Tottenham Hotspur Women 5 3 1 1 10
5 Everton Women 5 3 0 2 9
6 Liverpool Women 5 2 1 2 7
7 Manchester United Women 5 2 1 2 7
8 Crystal Palace Women 5 1 3 1 6
9 Brighton & Hove Albion Women 5 1 2 2 5
10 Arsenal Women 5 1 2 2 5
11 West Ham Women 5 1 0 4 3
12 Aston Villa Women 5 0 3 2 3
13 Birmingham City Women 5 0 2 3 2
14 Charlton Athletic Women 5 0 0 5 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Manchester City Women 5 16 6 +10 15
2 Tottenham Hotspur Women 5 16 8 +8 10
3 London City Lionesses 5 15 5 +10 12
4 Chelsea W 5 12 1 +11 13
5 Liverpool Women 5 9 6 +3 7
6 Brighton & Hove Albion Women 5 8 7 +1 5
7 Birmingham City Women 5 7 12 -5 2
8 Manchester United Women 5 5 9 -4 7
9 Crystal Palace Women 5 5 11 -6 6
10 Everton Women 5 4 4 0 9
11 Arsenal Women 5 4 6 -2 5
12 West Ham Women 5 4 10 -6 3
13 Aston Villa Women 5 4 11 -7 3
14 Charlton Athletic Women 5 2 15 -13 0
# SQUADRA PG xG xGC +/- PT
1 London City Lionesses 5 1.2 0.2 +1.0 12
2 Manchester United Women 5 0.2 1.2 -1.0 7
3 Manchester City Women 5 — — — 15
4 Chelsea W 5 — — — 13
5 Tottenham Hotspur Women 5 — — — 10
6 Everton Women 5 — — — 9
7 Liverpool Women 5 — — — 7
8 Crystal Palace Women 5 — — — 6
9 Brighton & Hove Albion Women 5 — — — 5
10 Arsenal Women 5 — — — 5
11 West Ham Women 5 — — — 3
12 Aston Villa Women 5 — — — 3
13 Birmingham City Women 5 — — — 2
14 Charlton Athletic Women 5 — — — 0