Espérance Sportive de Tunis vs Olympique Béja Statistics & Analysis

Espérance Sportive de Tunis

Oct 10, 2026 - 13:30

3 1.66

1 0.94

xG Accuracy: 68%

Olympique Béja

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Espérance Sportive de Tunis Espérance Sportive de Tunis ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 3-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13220522

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Espérance Sportive de Tunis win · Espérance Sportive de Tunis 3–1 Olympique Béja

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Ligue 1 Tunisia
Fixture: Espérance Sportive de Tunis vs Olympique Béja
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 52.8% · Draw 27.4% · Away 19.8%
xG (showing): Espérance Sportive de Tunis 1.66 — Olympique Béja 0.94 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 50.9% · No 49.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 50.9% · No 49.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Ligue 1 Tunisia — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Club Africain	3	3	0	0	9
2	Espérance Sportive de Tunis	4	3	0	1	9
3	US Ben Guerdane	4	2	2	0	8
4	CS Sfaxien	4	2	2	0	8
5	US Monastirienne	4	2	2	0	8
6	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	4	2	2	0	8
7	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	4	2	1	1	7
8	CA Bizertin	4	2	1	1	7
9	Stade Tunisien	3	1	1	1	4
10	Étoile Sportive du Sahel	4	1	1	2	4
11	AS Marsa	4	1	1	2	4
12	Espérance Sportive de Zarzis	4	1	0	3	3
13	ES Metlaoui	4	1	0	3	3
14	Olympique Béja	4	0	2	2	2
15	ES Hammam-Sousse	4	0	1	3	1
16	CS Hammam-Lif	4	0	0	4	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	US Ben Guerdane	4	7	5	+2	8
2	US Monastirienne	4	7	5	+2	8
3	Espérance Sportive de Tunis	4	7	6	+1	9
4	CS Sfaxien	4	6	3	+3	8
5	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	4	5	4	+1	7
6	Stade Tunisien	3	5	4	+1	4
7	Étoile Sportive du Sahel	4	5	6	-1	4
8	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	4	4	1	+3	8
9	Club Africain	3	3	0	+3	9
10	CA Bizertin	4	3	3	0	7
11	Espérance Sportive de Zarzis	4	3	5	-2	3
12	Olympique Béja	4	3	5	-2	2
13	AS Marsa	4	2	3	-1	4
14	ES Metlaoui	4	2	4	-2	3
15	ES Hammam-Sousse	4	1	5	-4	1
16	CS Hammam-Lif	4	0	4	-4	0