Tochigi City vs FC Imabari Statistics & Analysis

Tochigi City

Oct 03, 2026 - 08:00

1 1.36

2 1.24

xG Accuracy: 74%

FC Imabari

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Tochigi City FC Imabari ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 00:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11217724

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result FC Imabari win · Tochigi City 1–2 FC Imabari

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: J2 League Giappone
Fixture: Tochigi City vs FC Imabari
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 08:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Tochigi City 1.36 — FC Imabari 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.3% · Probability edge: +8.5 pts · Est. EV: +21.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

J2 League Giappone — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Vegalta Sendai	10	7	2	1	23
2	Omiya Ardija	10	5	5	0	20
3	Albirex Niigata	10	6	2	2	20
4	Kataller Toyama	10	5	3	2	18
5	Yokohama FC	10	5	2	3	17
6	Shonan Bellmare	10	4	5	1	17
7	Oita Trinita	10	3	5	2	14
8	Fujieda MYFC	10	3	4	3	13
9	Blaublitz Akita	10	3	4	3	13
10	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	10	3	4	3	13
11	Júbilo Iwata	10	4	1	5	13
12	Tokushima Vortis	10	4	1	5	13
13	Montedio Yamagata	10	4	0	6	12
14	Iwaki FC	10	4	0	6	12
15	Sagan Tosu	10	3	2	5	11
16	Tochigi City	10	3	1	6	10
17	FC Imabari	10	3	1	6	10
18	Ventforet Kofu	10	3	1	6	10
19	Vanraure Hachinohe	10	3	1	6	10
20	Consadole Sapporo	10	2	2	6	8

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Omiya Ardija	10	20	9	+11	20
2	Kataller Toyama	10	19	10	+9	18
3	Yokohama FC	10	19	13	+6	17
4	Vegalta Sendai	10	18	8	+10	23
5	Tochigi City	10	16	17	-1	10
6	Albirex Niigata	10	14	14	0	20
7	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	10	14	14	0	13
8	Fujieda MYFC	10	13	11	+2	13
9	Iwaki FC	10	13	17	-4	12
10	Blaublitz Akita	10	12	11	+1	13
11	Júbilo Iwata	10	12	13	-1	13
12	Consadole Sapporo	10	12	19	-7	8
13	Oita Trinita	10	11	8	+3	14
14	Shonan Bellmare	10	11	9	+2	17
15	Montedio Yamagata	10	11	9	+2	12
16	FC Imabari	10	11	19	-8	10
17	Tokushima Vortis	10	10	12	-2	13
18	Sagan Tosu	10	9	12	-3	11
19	Ventforet Kofu	10	9	18	-9	10
20	Vanraure Hachinohe	10	6	17	-11	10