Tochigi City vs Vegalta Sendai Statistics & Analysis

Tochigi City

Sep 20, 2026 - 08:00

1 1.30

3 1.30

xG Accuracy: 58%

Vegalta Sendai

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) No Sì ✖ Errato
1X2 Tochigi City Vegalta Sendai ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 00:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8657560

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Vegalta Sendai win · Tochigi City 1–3 Vegalta Sendai

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: J2 League Giappone
Fixture: Tochigi City vs Vegalta Sendai
Kickoff: 2026-09-20 08:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Tochigi City 1.3 — Vegalta Sendai 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 46.3% · Probability edge: +5.5 pts · Est. EV: +7.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

J2 League Giappone — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Vegalta Sendai	10	7	2	1	23
2	Omiya Ardija	10	5	5	0	20
3	Albirex Niigata	10	6	2	2	20
4	Kataller Toyama	10	5	3	2	18
5	Yokohama FC	10	5	2	3	17
6	Shonan Bellmare	10	4	5	1	17
7	Oita Trinita	10	3	5	2	14
8	Fujieda MYFC	10	3	4	3	13
9	Blaublitz Akita	10	3	4	3	13
10	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	10	3	4	3	13
11	Júbilo Iwata	10	4	1	5	13
12	Tokushima Vortis	10	4	1	5	13
13	Montedio Yamagata	10	4	0	6	12
14	Iwaki FC	10	4	0	6	12
15	Sagan Tosu	10	3	2	5	11
16	Tochigi City	10	3	1	6	10
17	FC Imabari	10	3	1	6	10
18	Ventforet Kofu	10	3	1	6	10
19	Vanraure Hachinohe	10	3	1	6	10
20	Consadole Sapporo	10	2	2	6	8

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Omiya Ardija	10	20	9	+11	20
2	Kataller Toyama	10	19	10	+9	18
3	Yokohama FC	10	19	13	+6	17
4	Vegalta Sendai	10	18	8	+10	23
5	Tochigi City	10	16	17	-1	10
6	Albirex Niigata	10	14	14	0	20
7	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	10	14	14	0	13
8	Fujieda MYFC	10	13	11	+2	13
9	Iwaki FC	10	13	17	-4	12
10	Blaublitz Akita	10	12	11	+1	13
11	Júbilo Iwata	10	12	13	-1	13
12	Consadole Sapporo	10	12	19	-7	8
13	Oita Trinita	10	11	8	+3	14
14	Shonan Bellmare	10	11	9	+2	17
15	Montedio Yamagata	10	11	9	+2	12
16	FC Imabari	10	11	19	-8	10
17	Tokushima Vortis	10	10	12	-2	13
18	Sagan Tosu	10	9	12	-3	11
19	Ventforet Kofu	10	9	18	-9	10
20	Vanraure Hachinohe	10	6	17	-11	10