Tupy FC vs Goianésia Statistics & Analysis

Tupy FC

Oct 03, 2026 - 21:00

1 1.33

3 1.27

xG Accuracy: 57%

Goianésia

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Tupy FC Goianésia ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11262512

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Goianésia win · Tupy FC 1–3 Goianésia

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Goiano - 2 Brasile
Fixture: Tupy FC vs Goianésia
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 21:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Tupy FC 1.33 — Goianésia 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Goiano - 2 Brasile — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Rio Verde	16	9	5	2	32
2	Bom Jesus EC	16	7	7	2	28
3	Mineiros	16	7	4	5	25
4	Goianésia	15	6	6	3	24
5	Morrinhos	16	6	4	6	22
6	Goiânia	16	4	8	4	20
7	Tupy FC	15	4	6	5	18
8	Crixás EC	16	3	7	6	16
9	Trindade	16	2	6	8	12
10	Grêmio Anápolis	16	2	5	9	11

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Rio Verde	16	25	11	+14	32
2	Morrinhos	16	22	21	+1	22
3	Bom Jesus EC	16	21	13	+8	28
4	Goianésia	15	18	17	+1	24
5	Crixás EC	16	18	23	-5	16
6	Mineiros	16	17	14	+3	25
7	Grêmio Anápolis	16	16	27	-11	11
8	Tupy FC	15	13	13	0	18
9	Goiânia	16	13	14	-1	20
10	Trindade	16	13	23	-10	12