Goiânia vs Morrinhos Statistics & Analysis

Goiânia

Sep 23, 2026 - 22:30

2 1.38

1 1.22

xG Accuracy: 79%

Morrinhos

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Goiânia Goiânia ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 17, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9168983

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Goiânia win · Goiânia 2–1 Morrinhos

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Goiano - 2 Brasile
Fixture: Goiânia vs Morrinhos
Kickoff: 2026-09-23 22:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
xG (showing): Goiânia 1.38 — Morrinhos 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 39.1% · Probability edge: +9.0 pts · Est. EV: +20.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Goiano - 2 Brasile — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Rio Verde	14	8	4	2	28
2	Bom Jesus EC	14	6	6	2	24
3	Goianésia	14	6	6	2	24
4	Morrinhos	14	5	4	5	19
5	Mineiros	14	5	4	5	19
6	Goiânia	15	4	7	4	19
7	Tupy FC	15	4	6	5	18
8	Crixás EC	14	3	6	5	15
9	Grêmio Anápolis	14	2	5	7	11
10	Trindade	14	1	6	7	9

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Rio Verde	14	21	8	+13	28
2	Morrinhos	14	20	19	+1	19
3	Goianésia	14	18	16	+2	24
4	Bom Jesus EC	14	17	11	+6	24
5	Crixás EC	14	16	20	-4	15
6	Mineiros	14	15	14	+1	19
7	Grêmio Anápolis	14	15	23	-8	11
8	Tupy FC	15	13	13	0	18
9	Goiânia	15	12	13	-1	19
10	Trindade	14	11	21	-10	9