Bom Jesus EC vs Goiânia Statistics & Analysis

Bom Jesus EC

Sep 20, 2026 - 18:30

1 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 85%

Goiânia

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Bom Jesus EC Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8695674

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Bom Jesus EC 1–1 Goiânia

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Goiano - 2 Brasile
Fixture: Bom Jesus EC vs Goiânia
Kickoff: 2026-09-20 18:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Bom Jesus EC 1.32 — Goiânia 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 41.1% · Probability edge: +7.1 pts · Est. EV: +14.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Goiano - 2 Brasile — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Rio Verde	12	8	2	2	26
2	Goianésia	13	6	5	2	23
3	Bom Jesus EC	12	6	4	2	22
4	Morrinhos	12	5	3	4	18
5	Tupy FC	12	4	5	3	17
6	Goiânia	12	3	5	4	14
7	Mineiros	12	3	4	5	13
8	Crixás EC	12	2	5	5	11
9	Grêmio Anápolis	12	2	4	6	10
10	Trindade	13	1	5	7	8

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Rio Verde	12	20	7	+13	26
2	Morrinhos	12	19	17	+2	18
3	Goianésia	13	17	15	+2	23
4	Bom Jesus EC	12	14	8	+6	22
5	Crixás EC	12	14	19	-5	11
6	Grêmio Anápolis	12	13	18	-5	10
7	Tupy FC	12	12	10	+2	17
8	Mineiros	12	11	14	-3	13
9	Trindade	13	10	20	-10	8
10	Goiânia	12	8	10	-2	14