Morrinhos vs Trindade Statistics & Analysis

Sep 14, 2026 - 22:00
2 1.25
1 1.35
xG Accuracy: 74%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Trindade Morrinhos ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7458840

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Morrinhos win · Morrinhos 2–1 Trindade
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Goiano - 2 Brasile
  • Fixture: Morrinhos vs Trindade
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Morrinhos 1.25 — Trindade 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 45.7% · Probability edge: +2.5 pts · Est. EV: +6.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Goiano - 2 Brasile Goiano - 2 BrasileClassifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Rio Verde 12 8 2 2 26
2 Goianésia 13 6 5 2 23
3 Bom Jesus EC 12 6 4 2 22
4 Morrinhos 12 5 3 4 18
5 Tupy FC 12 4 5 3 17
6 Goiânia 12 3 5 4 14
7 Mineiros 12 3 4 5 13
8 Crixás EC 12 2 5 5 11
9 Grêmio Anápolis 12 2 4 6 10
10 Trindade 13 1 5 7 8
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Rio Verde 12 20 7 +13 26
2 Morrinhos 12 19 17 +2 18
3 Goianésia 13 17 15 +2 23
4 Bom Jesus EC 12 14 8 +6 22
5 Crixás EC 12 14 19 -5 11
6 Grêmio Anápolis 12 13 18 -5 10
7 Tupy FC 12 12 10 +2 17
8 Mineiros 12 11 14 -3 13
9 Trindade 13 10 20 -10 8
10 Goiânia 12 8 10 -2 14