Statistiche / Calcio / Svizzera. 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 3 / Tuggen vs Widnau

Tuggen vs Widnau Statistics & Analysis

Tuggen Tuggen
Aug 08, 2026 - 16:30
3 1.44
0 1.16
xG Accuracy: 47%
Widnau Widnau
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Tuggen Tuggen ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2827019

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Tuggen win · Tuggen 3–0 Widnau
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 3
  • Fixture: Tuggen vs Widnau
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.9% · Draw 29.3% · Away 28.8%
  • xG (showing): Tuggen 1.44 — Widnau 1.16 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 3 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 3 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Tuggen 8 6 1 1 19
2 Baden 7 5 1 1 16
3 St. Gallen II 8 5 1 2 16
4 Thalwil 8 4 3 1 15
5 Taverne 8 4 2 2 14
6 Kosova 8 3 4 1 13
7 Dietikon 8 3 2 3 11
8 Collina d'Oro 8 3 2 3 11
9 Winterthur II 7 3 0 4 9
10 Gossau 8 2 2 4 8
11 Mendrisio 8 1 4 3 7
12 Eschen / Mauren 7 2 1 4 7
13 FC Freienbach 7 1 3 3 6
14 Wettswil-Bonstetten 8 1 3 4 6
15 Widnau 7 1 2 4 5
16 Locarno 7 0 3 4 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Taverne 8 21 11 +10 14
2 Tuggen 8 19 8 +11 19
3 St. Gallen II 8 18 15 +3 16
4 Baden 7 16 8 +8 16
5 Thalwil 8 14 7 +7 15
6 Kosova 8 14 11 +3 13
7 Dietikon 8 12 13 -1 11
8 Mendrisio 8 10 12 -2 7
9 FC Freienbach 7 10 14 -4 6
10 Winterthur II 7 9 9 0 9
11 Wettswil-Bonstetten 8 9 14 -5 6
12 Eschen / Mauren 7 8 15 -7 7
13 Gossau 8 8 16 -8 8
14 Collina d'Oro 8 7 9 -2 11
15 Locarno 7 6 10 -4 3
16 Widnau 7 3 12 -9 5
1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 3 Svizzera. 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 3 Pronostici