Solothurn vs Zug Statistics & Analysis

Aug 08, 2026 - 16:00
4 1.39
1 1.21
xG Accuracy: 46%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Solothurn Solothurn ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2826770

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds
CLV Pending
Final Result Solothurn win · Solothurn 4–1 Zug
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 2
  • Fixture: Solothurn vs Zug
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Solothurn 1.39 — Zug 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 2 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 2Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Langenthal 5 4 1 0 13
2 Muri-Gümligen 6 4 1 1 13
3 Courtételle 5 3 1 1 10
4 Muttenz 6 3 1 2 10
5 Buochs 6 3 1 2 10
6 Grasshopper II 6 3 0 3 9
7 Delémont 5 2 2 1 8
8 Thun II 6 2 2 2 8
9 Solothurn 5 2 1 2 7
10 Schötz 5 2 1 2 7
11 Black Stars 6 1 4 1 7
12 FC Wohlen 6 2 1 3 7
13 Concordia Basilea 6 1 2 3 5
14 Zug 5 1 1 3 4
15 Bassecourt 5 1 0 4 3
16 Münsingen 5 0 1 4 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Buochs 6 14 11 +3 10
2 Solothurn 5 13 10 +3 7
3 Thun II 6 13 13 0 8
4 Courtételle 5 12 5 +7 10
5 Langenthal 5 11 7 +4 13
6 Muttenz 6 9 5 +4 10
7 Grasshopper II 6 9 9 0 9
8 Schötz 5 8 8 0 7
9 Concordia Basilea 6 8 10 -2 5
10 Zug 5 7 11 -4 4
11 Muri-Gümligen 6 6 3 +3 13
12 Delémont 5 5 4 +1 8
13 FC Wohlen 6 5 6 -1 7
14 Bassecourt 5 5 12 -7 3
15 Black Stars 6 4 4 0 7
16 Münsingen 5 2 13 -11 1