Statistiche / Calcio / Portogallo. Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Gruppo B / Sanjoanense vs Alpendorada

Sanjoanense vs Alpendorada Statistics & Analysis

Sanjoanense Sanjoanense
Sep 06, 2026 - 16:00
3 1.28
1 1.32
xG Accuracy: 57%
Alpendorada Alpendorada
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Alpendorada Sanjoanense ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 07:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6367710

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sanjoanense win · Sanjoanense 3–1 Alpendorada
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Gruppo B
  • Fixture: Sanjoanense vs Alpendorada
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-06 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Sanjoanense 1.28 — Alpendorada 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Gruppo B Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Gruppo B — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Ovarense 4 4 0 0 12
2 Machico 4 2 2 0 8
3 Camacha 4 2 2 0 8
4 Florgrade 4 2 1 1 7
5 Salgueiros 4 1 3 0 6
6 Sanjoanense 4 1 2 1 5
7 União Lamas 4 1 2 1 5
8 Cinfães 3 1 1 1 4
9 Castro Daire 3 1 1 1 4
10 Beira-Mar 4 0 3 1 3
11 Alpendorada 4 1 0 3 3
12 Guarda 4 0 1 3 1
13 Estrela Calheta 2 0 1 1 1
14 Sousense 4 0 1 3 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Ovarense 4 8 0 +8 12
2 Camacha 4 6 4 +2 8
3 Machico 4 5 2 +3 8
4 Sanjoanense 4 5 5 0 5
5 União Lamas 4 5 5 0 5
6 Florgrade 4 4 2 +2 7
7 Salgueiros 4 4 3 +1 6
8 Cinfães 3 4 3 +1 4
9 Beira-Mar 4 4 6 -2 3
10 Alpendorada 4 4 7 -3 3
11 Sousense 4 3 8 -5 1
12 Castro Daire 3 2 3 -1 4
13 Guarda 4 2 5 -3 1
14 Estrela Calheta 2 0 3 -3 1