Cardoso Moreira vs Rio de Janeiro Statistics & Analysis

⚽

Cardoso Moreira

Sep 13, 2026 - 17:45

1 1.49

0 1.11

xG Accuracy: 64%

Rio de Janeiro

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Cardoso Moreira Cardoso Moreira ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7456627

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Cardoso Moreira win · Cardoso Moreira 1–0 Rio de Janeiro

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Carioca B2
Fixture: Cardoso Moreira vs Rio de Janeiro
Kickoff: 2026-09-13 17:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 44.3% · Draw 29.0% · Away 26.7%
xG (showing): Cardoso Moreira 1.49 — Rio de Janeiro 1.11 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

Esplora Altri Contenuti di Previsioni

Ottieni Previsioni Premium per Cardoso Moreira & Rio de Janeiro!

Sblocca analisi approfondite, consigli esclusivi sulle scommesse e previsioni delle partite con il nostro servizio di abbonamento premium.

Iscriviti Ora

Torna alle Statistiche

Carioca B2 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Santa Cruz RJ	5	4	0	1	12
2	Cardoso Moreira	5	4	0	1	12
3	Friburguense	5	3	2	0	11
4	Paduano	5	3	1	1	10
5	7 de Abril	5	3	1	1	10
6	Serra Macaense	5	2	1	2	7
7	SE Belford Roxo	5	1	3	1	6
8	Campos AA	5	1	2	2	5
9	Rio de Janeiro	5	1	1	3	4
10	Barra Mansa	4	0	3	1	3
11	Búzios	4	0	0	4	0
12	Paraty	5	0	0	5	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Santa Cruz RJ	5	9	2	+7	12
2	Friburguense	5	9	3	+6	11
3	7 de Abril	5	9	6	+3	10
4	SE Belford Roxo	5	9	6	+3	6
5	Paduano	5	8	4	+4	10
6	Serra Macaense	5	8	6	+2	7
7	Cardoso Moreira	5	7	2	+5	12
8	Campos AA	5	7	9	-2	5
9	Rio de Janeiro	5	5	7	-2	4
10	Barra Mansa	4	5	8	-3	3
11	Paraty	5	2	14	-12	0
12	Búzios	4	1	12	-11	0