Statistiche / Calcio / Armenia. Prima Lega Armena / Araks Ararat vs BKMA II

Araks Ararat vs BKMA II Statistics & Analysis

Sep 21, 2026 - 11:30
0 1.12
0 1.48
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 BKMA II Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 15, 2026 · 02:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8835419

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Araks Ararat 0–0 BKMA II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Prima Lega Armena
  • Fixture: Araks Ararat vs BKMA II
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-21 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 27.1% · Draw 29.1% · Away 43.9%
  • xG (showing): Araks Ararat 1.12 — BKMA II 1.48 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Prima Lega Armena Prima Lega Armena — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Olympia Yerevan 7 6 1 0 19
2 BKMA II 8 5 1 2 16
3 Bentonit Ijevan 7 4 2 1 14
4 Andranik 7 4 1 2 13
5 Lernayin Artsakh 7 4 0 3 12
6 Pyunik II 8 3 2 3 11
7 Araks Ararat 6 2 3 1 9
8 Mika 7 2 2 3 8
9 Banants II 7 1 4 2 7
10 Shirak II 6 2 1 3 7
11 Ararat II 6 2 0 4 6
12 Noah II 8 1 3 4 6
13 Hayq 1 0 0 1 0
13 Ararat-Armenia II 7 1 2 4 5
14 Sardarapat 2 7 1 0 6 3
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bentonit Ijevan 7 24 15 +9 14
2 Olympia Yerevan 7 18 5 +13 19
3 BKMA II 8 18 8 +10 16
4 Andranik 7 17 8 +9 13
5 Lernayin Artsakh 7 16 14 +2 12
6 Pyunik II 8 13 14 -1 11
7 Mika 7 12 14 -2 8
8 Banants II 7 10 16 -6 7
9 Araks Ararat 6 8 5 +3 9
10 Ararat II 6 8 11 -3 6
11 Noah II 8 8 20 -12 6
12 Ararat-Armenia II 7 7 12 -5 5
13 Shirak II 6 5 11 -6 7
14 Sardarapat 2 7 4 15 -11 3
15 Hayq 1 0 3 -3 0