Azzurri vs Echallens Statistics & Analysis

Oct 11, 2026 - 14:00
6 1.35
1 1.25
xG Accuracy: 26%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Azzurri Azzurri ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 6-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13220304

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Azzurri win · Azzurri 6–1 Echallens
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 1
  • Fixture: Azzurri vs Echallens
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Azzurri 1.35 — Echallens 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 1 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Prishtina Bern 10 7 2 1 23
2 Azzurri 9 7 0 2 21
3 Servette II 9 5 3 1 18
4 Losanna Sport II 10 4 5 1 17
5 Sion II 10 4 4 2 16
6 Portalban / Gletterens 10 4 2 4 14
7 Monthey 10 3 5 2 14
8 Naters 10 4 2 4 14
9 Lancy 10 4 1 5 13
10 Echallens 9 3 3 3 12
11 Meyrin 10 3 2 5 11
12 Chênois 9 3 2 4 11
13 Stade Payerne 10 3 1 6 10
14 La Chaux-de-Fonds 10 3 1 6 10
15 Coffrane 10 1 4 5 7
16 Vevey Sports 10 1 1 8 4
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Prishtina Bern 10 27 9 +18 23
2 Azzurri 9 21 11 +10 21
3 Losanna Sport II 10 20 12 +8 17
4 Naters 10 20 27 -7 14
5 Portalban / Gletterens 10 18 13 +5 14
6 Meyrin 10 17 14 +3 11
7 Servette II 9 17 15 +2 18
8 Lancy 10 17 18 -1 13
9 Stade Payerne 10 17 24 -7 10
10 Monthey 10 15 13 +2 14
11 Echallens 9 15 16 -1 12
12 Chênois 9 15 16 -1 11
13 Vevey Sports 10 14 27 -13 4
14 Sion II 10 13 10 +3 16
15 La Chaux-de-Fonds 10 12 29 -17 10
16 Coffrane 10 10 14 -4 7