Statistiche / Calcio / Svizzera. 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 1 / Stade Payerne vs Lancy

Stade Payerne vs Lancy Statistics & Analysis

Stade Payerne Stade Payerne
Sep 19, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.28
1 1.32
xG Accuracy: 57%
Lancy Lancy
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Lancy Stade Payerne ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:52 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8699045

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Stade Payerne win · Stade Payerne 3–1 Lancy
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 1
  • Fixture: Stade Payerne vs Lancy
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Stade Payerne 1.28 — Lancy 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 1 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Prishtina Bern 7 5 2 0 17
2 Losanna Sport II 8 4 3 1 15
3 Azzurri 7 5 0 2 15
4 Servette II 7 4 2 1 14
5 Sion II 7 3 3 1 12
6 Naters 7 3 2 2 11
7 Meyrin 7 3 1 3 10
8 Chênois 7 3 1 3 10
9 La Chaux-de-Fonds 7 3 1 3 10
10 Echallens 8 2 3 3 9
11 Monthey 7 1 5 1 8
12 Portalban / Gletterens 7 2 1 4 7
13 Stade Payerne 7 2 1 4 7
14 Lancy 7 2 1 4 7
15 Coffrane 7 0 3 4 3
16 Vevey Sports 7 0 1 6 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Prishtina Bern 7 18 6 +12 17
2 Losanna Sport II 8 17 9 +8 15
3 Naters 7 17 19 -2 11
4 Meyrin 7 14 9 +5 10
5 Chênois 7 14 11 +3 10
6 Stade Payerne 7 14 18 -4 7
7 Echallens 8 13 15 -2 9
8 Azzurri 7 12 9 +3 15
9 Portalban / Gletterens 7 11 10 +1 7
10 Servette II 7 11 12 -1 14
11 Monthey 7 10 9 +1 8
12 Lancy 7 10 15 -5 7
13 Sion II 7 9 7 +2 12
14 La Chaux-de-Fonds 7 9 14 -5 10
15 Vevey Sports 7 8 20 -12 1
16 Coffrane 7 6 10 -4 3
1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 1 Svizzera. 1. Liga Classic - Gruppo 1 Pronostici