Legnago Salus vs Mantova Statistics & Analysis

Legnago Salus

Aug 06, 2026 - 16:30

1 1.34

3 1.26

xG Accuracy: 56%

Mantova

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Legnago Salus Mantova ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 31, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2557853

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Mantova win · Legnago Salus 1–3 Mantova

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Amichevoli Club
Fixture: Legnago Salus vs Mantova
Kickoff: 2026-08-06 16:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Legnago Salus 1.34 — Mantova 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Legnago Salus
Model: 37.0% · Implied: 10.2% · Probability edge: +26.8 pts · Est. EV: +20.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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