Oberneuland vs Geestemünde Statistics & Analysis

Oberneuland

Oct 09, 2026 - 17:30

1 1.35

5 1.25

xG Accuracy: 32%

Geestemünde

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Oberneuland Geestemünde ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-5 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12700443

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Geestemünde win · Oberneuland 1–5 Geestemünde

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Oberliga - Brema
Fixture: Oberneuland vs Geestemünde
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Oberneuland 1.35 — Geestemünde 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Oberliga - Brema — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Hemelingen	8	7	1	0	22
2	Blumenthaler SV	8	7	0	1	21
3	Brinkumer SV	8	7	0	1	21
4	OSC Bremerhaven	8	6	1	1	19
5	Aumund-Vegesack	8	4	1	3	13
6	Union Brema	8	3	3	2	12
7	Eiche Horn	8	3	3	2	12
8	Vatan Sport	8	3	1	4	10
9	Grohn	8	3	1	4	10
10	Schwachhausen	8	3	1	4	10
11	BTS Neustadt	8	3	0	5	9
12	Geestemünde	8	2	2	4	8
13	Leher TS	8	1	2	5	5
14	Werder Brema III	8	1	1	6	4
15	Woltmershausen	8	1	1	6	4
16	Oberneuland	8	0	2	6	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	OSC Bremerhaven	8	33	6	+27	19
2	Hemelingen	8	31	3	+28	22
3	Blumenthaler SV	8	31	8	+23	21
4	Brinkumer SV	8	28	7	+21	21
5	Aumund-Vegesack	8	22	16	+6	13
6	Vatan Sport	8	19	18	+1	10
7	Geestemünde	8	18	28	-10	8
8	Union Brema	8	17	15	+2	12
9	BTS Neustadt	8	14	21	-7	9
10	Grohn	8	13	22	-9	10
11	Werder Brema III	8	12	24	-12	4
12	Schwachhausen	8	10	19	-9	10
13	Woltmershausen	8	10	32	-22	4
14	Eiche Horn	8	8	12	-4	12
15	Leher TS	8	8	17	-9	5
16	Oberneuland	8	7	33	-26	2