Atletik Kuklen vs Sekirovo Statistics & Analysis

Aug 08, 2026 - 15:00
2 1.33
0 1.27
xG Accuracy: 59%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Atletik Kuklen Atletik Kuklen ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2824446

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Atletik Kuklen win · Atletik Kuklen 2–0 Sekirovo
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Terza Lega Bulgara - Sudest
  • Fixture: Atletik Kuklen vs Sekirovo
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-08 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Atletik Kuklen 1.33 — Sekirovo 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Terza Lega Bulgara - Sudest Terza Lega Bulgara - Sudest — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Levski Krumovgrad 7 7 0 0 21
2 Spartak Plovdiv 7 6 0 1 18
3 Yambol 1915 7 5 1 1 16
4 Maritsa Milevo 7 5 0 2 15
5 Sayana Haskovo 7 4 2 1 14
6 Gigant Saedinenie 7 4 1 2 13
7 Rodopa Smolyan 7 3 2 2 11
8 Sozopol 7 3 1 3 10
9 Neftochimic Burgas 7 3 1 3 10
10 Rozova dolina 7 2 4 1 10
11 Zagorets 7 3 1 3 10
12 Lokomotiv Plovdiv II 7 2 1 4 7
13 Dimitrovgrad 7 2 0 5 6
14 Botev Plovdiv II 7 1 3 3 6
15 Atletik Kuklen 7 2 0 5 6
16 Sekirovo 7 1 2 4 5
17 Maritsa Plovdiv 7 0 1 6 1
18 Levski Karlovo 7 0 0 7 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Levski Krumovgrad 7 24 7 +17 21
2 Yambol 1915 7 24 7 +17 16
3 Spartak Plovdiv 7 18 10 +8 18
4 Gigant Saedinenie 7 17 12 +5 13
5 Sozopol 7 14 11 +3 10
6 Sayana Haskovo 7 13 6 +7 14
7 Rodopa Smolyan 7 13 12 +1 11
8 Neftochimic Burgas 7 13 12 +1 10
9 Maritsa Milevo 7 12 9 +3 15
10 Sekirovo 7 11 21 -10 5
11 Zagorets 7 10 12 -2 10
12 Dimitrovgrad 7 10 14 -4 6
13 Botev Plovdiv II 7 10 15 -5 6
14 Lokomotiv Plovdiv II 7 10 16 -6 7
15 Rozova dolina 7 9 8 +1 10
16 Atletik Kuklen 7 7 17 -10 6
17 Maritsa Plovdiv 7 4 15 -11 1
18 Levski Karlovo 7 3 18 -15 0