Minyor Pernik vs Belasitsa Statistics & Analysis

Minyor Pernik

Aug 15, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 85%

Belasitsa

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Minyor Pernik Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 02:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3360145

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Minyor Pernik 1–1 Belasitsa

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Terza Lega Bulgara - Sudovest
Fixture: Minyor Pernik vs Belasitsa
Kickoff: 2026-08-15 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Minyor Pernik 1.32 — Belasitsa 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Terza Lega Bulgara - Sudovest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Bansko	4	3	1	0	10
2	Strumska Slava	4	3	1	0	10
3	Oborishte	4	2	2	0	8
4	Minyor Pernik	4	2	1	1	7
5	Belasitsa	4	2	1	1	7
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	7
7	Septemvri Sofia II	4	2	1	1	7
8	Slivnishki Geroy	4	2	0	2	6
9	Botev Ihtiman	4	2	0	2	6
10	Kostinbrod	4	2	0	2	6
11	Balkan Botevgrad	4	2	0	2	6
12	CSKA Sofia III	4	0	4	0	4
13	Levski Sofia II	4	1	1	2	4
14	Chavdar Etropole	4	1	1	2	4
15	Kyustendil	4	1	1	2	4
16	Slavia Sofia II	4	1	0	3	3
17	Natsional Sofia	4	0	1	3	1
18	Pirin Razlog	4	0	0	4	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Bansko	4	10	4	+6	10
2	Belasitsa	4	10	8	+2	7
3	Oborishte	4	9	5	+4	8
4	Strumska Slava	4	7	1	+6	10
5	Minyor Pernik	4	6	3	+3	7
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	6	5	+1	7
7	Slivnishki Geroy	4	6	6	0	6
8	Levski Sofia II	4	6	7	-1	4
9	Chavdar Etropole	4	6	8	-2	4
10	Septemvri Sofia II	4	5	4	+1	7
11	Botev Ihtiman	4	5	5	0	6
12	Kostinbrod	4	4	4	0	6
13	Kyustendil	4	4	6	-2	4
14	Pirin Razlog	4	4	13	-9	0
15	Balkan Botevgrad	4	3	4	-1	6
16	Natsional Sofia	4	3	9	-6	1
17	CSKA Sofia III	4	2	2	0	4
18	Slavia Sofia II	4	2	4	-2	3