Septemvri Sofia II vs Slavia Sofia II Statistics & Analysis

Septemvri Sofia II

Aug 08, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.33

0 1.27

xG Accuracy: 64%

Slavia Sofia II

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Septemvri Sofia II Septemvri Sofia II ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2824412

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Septemvri Sofia II win · Septemvri Sofia II 1–0 Slavia Sofia II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Terza Lega Bulgara - Sudovest
Fixture: Septemvri Sofia II vs Slavia Sofia II
Kickoff: 2026-08-08 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Septemvri Sofia II 1.33 — Slavia Sofia II 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Terza Lega Bulgara - Sudovest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Strumska Slava	7	5	1	1	16
2	Oborishte	7	4	3	0	15
3	Botev Ihtiman	7	5	0	2	15
4	Minyor Pernik	7	4	2	1	14
5	Septemvri Sofia II	7	4	1	2	13
6	Bansko	7	4	1	2	13
7	Kostinbrod	7	4	0	3	12
8	Belasitsa	7	3	1	3	10
9	Slavia Sofia II	7	3	0	4	9
10	Septemvri Simitli	7	2	3	2	9
11	Slivnishki Geroy	7	3	0	4	9
12	Balkan Botevgrad	7	3	0	4	9
13	CSKA Sofia III	7	1	5	1	8
14	Kyustendil	7	2	2	3	8
15	Levski Sofia II	7	1	2	4	5
16	Chavdar Etropole	7	1	1	5	4
17	Pirin Razlog	7	1	1	5	4
18	Natsional Sofia	7	0	3	4	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Strumska Slava	7	15	6	+9	16
2	Oborishte	7	14	5	+9	15
3	Botev Ihtiman	7	14	9	+5	15
4	Bansko	7	14	12	+2	13
5	Belasitsa	7	14	15	-1	10
6	Minyor Pernik	7	13	5	+8	14
7	Septemvri Sofia II	7	11	7	+4	13
8	Kostinbrod	7	10	8	+2	12
9	Septemvri Simitli	7	10	11	-1	9
10	Slivnishki Geroy	7	10	13	-3	9
11	Slavia Sofia II	7	9	7	+2	9
12	Natsional Sofia	7	9	16	-7	3
13	Kyustendil	7	8	9	-1	8
14	Chavdar Etropole	7	8	19	-11	4
15	Levski Sofia II	7	7	10	-3	5
16	CSKA Sofia III	7	6	6	0	8
17	Pirin Razlog	7	6	17	-11	4
18	Balkan Botevgrad	7	4	7	-3	9