Statistiche / Calcio / Ghana. Premier League Ghana / Young Apostles vs Heart of Lions

Young Apostles vs Heart of Lions Statistics & Analysis

Sep 27, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.28
2 1.32
xG Accuracy: 77%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Heart of Lions Heart of Lions ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10103553

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Heart of Lions win · Young Apostles 1–2 Heart of Lions
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League Ghana
  • Fixture: Young Apostles vs Heart of Lions
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-27 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Young Apostles 1.28 — Heart of Lions 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Ghana Premier League Ghana — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Medeama 5 3 2 0 11
2 Samartex 5 3 2 0 11
3 Port City 5 3 1 1 10
4 Aduana Stars 5 3 1 1 10
5 Basake Holy Stars 5 3 0 2 9
6 Hearts of Oak 5 2 2 1 8
7 Heart of Lions 5 2 2 1 8
8 Asante Kotoko 5 2 2 1 8
9 Ashanti Gold 5 2 1 2 7
10 Bechem United 5 2 1 2 7
11 Karela United 5 2 0 3 6
12 Vision 5 1 3 1 6
13 Swedru All Blacks 5 1 2 2 5
14 Debibi United 5 1 1 3 4
15 Bibiani Gold Stars 5 1 1 3 4
16 Berekum Chelsea 5 1 1 3 4
17 Young Apostles 5 1 0 4 3
18 Dreams FC 5 0 2 3 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Medeama 5 9 4 +5 11
2 Port City 5 8 4 +4 10
3 Ashanti Gold 5 8 7 +1 7
4 Samartex 5 7 3 +4 11
5 Hearts of Oak 5 6 2 +4 8
6 Aduana Stars 5 6 3 +3 10
7 Heart of Lions 5 6 5 +1 8
8 Vision 5 6 5 +1 6
9 Asante Kotoko 5 6 6 0 8
10 Debibi United 5 6 6 0 4
11 Karela United 5 6 7 -1 6
12 Berekum Chelsea 5 5 9 -4 4
13 Dreams FC 5 5 9 -4 2
14 Basake Holy Stars 5 4 5 -1 9
15 Bechem United 5 4 6 -2 7
16 Bibiani Gold Stars 5 4 7 -3 4
17 Swedru All Blacks 5 3 4 -1 5
18 Young Apostles 5 2 9 -7 3