Statistiche / Calcio / Ghana. Premier League Ghana / Basake Holy Stars vs Ashanti Gold

Basake Holy Stars vs Ashanti Gold Statistics & Analysis

Sep 20, 2026 - 15:00
1 1.31
0 1.29
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Basake Holy Stars Basake Holy Stars ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:10 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8685282

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Basake Holy Stars win · Basake Holy Stars 1–0 Ashanti Gold
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League Ghana
  • Fixture: Basake Holy Stars vs Ashanti Gold
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Basake Holy Stars 1.31 — Ashanti Gold 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League Ghana Premier League Ghana — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Hearts of Oak 4 2 1 1 7
2 Samartex 3 2 1 0 7
3 Basake Holy Stars 3 2 0 1 6
4 Karela United 4 2 0 2 6
5 Asante Kotoko 3 1 2 0 5
6 Debibi United 3 1 1 1 4
7 Vision 3 1 1 1 4
8 Ashanti Gold 3 1 1 1 4
9 Port City 2 1 1 0 4
10 Aduana Stars 3 1 1 1 4
11 Swedru All Blacks 3 1 1 1 4
12 Bechem United 3 1 1 1 4
13 Bibiani Gold Stars 3 1 0 2 3
14 Berekum Chelsea 3 1 0 2 3
15 Young Apostles 3 1 0 2 3
16 Medeama 2 0 2 0 2
17 Heart of Lions 3 0 2 1 2
18 Dreams FC 3 0 1 2 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Hearts of Oak 4 6 2 +4 7
2 Karela United 4 6 6 0 6
3 Samartex 3 5 2 +3 7
4 Debibi United 3 5 3 +2 4
5 Asante Kotoko 3 5 4 +1 5
6 Vision 3 5 4 +1 4
7 Dreams FC 3 5 8 -3 1
8 Ashanti Gold 3 4 3 +1 4
9 Bibiani Gold Stars 3 4 5 -1 3
10 Berekum Chelsea 3 4 7 -3 3
11 Port City 2 3 2 +1 4
12 Medeama 2 3 3 0 2
13 Basake Holy Stars 3 2 1 +1 6
14 Aduana Stars 3 2 2 0 4
15 Bechem United 3 2 3 -1 4
16 Swedru All Blacks 3 1 1 0 4
17 Heart of Lions 3 1 2 -1 2
18 Young Apostles 3 1 6 -5 3