Planaltina DF vs Legião Statistics & Analysis

Planaltina DF

Oct 03, 2026 - 18:30

2 1.26

3 1.34

xG Accuracy: 52%

Legião

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Legião Legião ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11259382

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Legião win · Planaltina DF 2–3 Legião

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Brasiliense B
Fixture: Planaltina DF vs Legião
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): Planaltina DF 1.26 — Legião 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 44.9% · Probability edge: +3.3 pts · Est. EV: +2.2%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Brasiliense B — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Taguatinga EC	5	4	0	1	12
2	Canaa EC	5	3	1	1	10
3	Planaltina DF	5	2	1	2	7
4	GREVAL	5	1	3	1	6
5	Legião	4	1	3	0	6
6	Luziânia	5	1	1	3	4
7	Candango	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	GREVAL	5	11	7	+4	6
2	Taguatinga EC	5	9	1	+8	12
3	Canaa EC	5	8	3	+5	10
4	Legião	4	6	4	+2	6
5	Planaltina DF	5	5	4	+1	7
6	Luziânia	5	3	11	-8	4
7	Candango	5	1	13	-12	1