Candango vs Legião Statistics & Analysis

Candango

Sep 19, 2026 - 18:30

0 1.06

2 1.54

xG Accuracy: 66%

Legião

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Legião Legião ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8707983

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Legião win · Candango 0–2 Legião

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Brasiliense B
Fixture: Candango vs Legião
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 18:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 24.6% · Draw 28.7% · Away 46.8%
xG (showing): Candango 1.06 — Legião 1.54 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Brasiliense B — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Taguatinga EC	3	3	0	0	9
2	Planaltina DF	3	1	1	1	4
3	Luziânia	2	1	1	0	4
4	Legião	2	0	2	0	2
5	GREVAL	3	0	2	1	2
6	Canaa EC	2	0	1	1	1
7	Candango	3	0	1	2	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Taguatinga EC	3	7	0	+7	9
2	Planaltina DF	3	4	3	+1	4
3	Luziânia	2	2	1	+1	4
4	GREVAL	3	2	4	-2	2
5	Legião	2	1	1	0	2
6	Canaa EC	2	1	2	-1	1
7	Candango	3	1	7	-6	1