Team Thoren vs Friska Viljor FC Statistics & Analysis

Team Thoren

Oct 03, 2026 - 11:00

0 1.56

4 1.04

xG Accuracy: 29%

Friska Viljor FC

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Team Thoren Friska Viljor FC ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 0-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11223203

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Friska Viljor FC win · Team Thoren 0–4 Friska Viljor FC

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Division 2 - Norrland
Fixture: Team Thoren vs Friska Viljor FC
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 47.8% · Draw 28.5% · Away 23.7%
xG (showing): Team Thoren 1.56 — Friska Viljor FC 1.04 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Division 2 - Norrland — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Skellefteå	12	8	3	1	27
1	Kubikenborg	12	7	2	3	23
2	Täfteå	12	8	1	3	25
2	Gottne	12	7	2	3	23
3	IFK Luleå	12	8	1	3	25
3	Lucksta	12	5	3	4	18
4	Boden	12	4	5	3	17
4	IFK Östersund	12	4	5	3	17
5	Umeå FC Akademi	12	2	5	5	11
5	Friska Viljor FC	12	2	6	4	12
6	Storfors	12	2	2	8	8
6	Team Thoren	12	2	5	5	11
7	IFK Umeå	12	1	1	10	4
7	Fränsta IK	12	2	3	7	9

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Täfteå	12	34	13	+21	25
2	IFK Luleå	12	32	14	+18	25
3	Gottne	12	29	24	+5	23
4	Skellefteå	12	26	8	+18	27
5	Lucksta	12	26	26	0	18
6	Kubikenborg	12	25	16	+9	23
7	IFK Östersund	12	23	20	+3	17
8	Friska Viljor FC	12	23	21	+2	12
9	Team Thoren	12	22	26	-4	11
10	Umeå FC Akademi	12	17	29	-12	11
11	Fränsta IK	12	17	32	-15	9
12	Boden	12	15	14	+1	17
13	Storfors	12	14	32	-18	8
14	IFK Umeå	12	10	38	-28	4