Statistiche / Calcio / Tanzania. Ligi Kuu Bara / Kagera Sugar vs Simba SC

Kagera Sugar vs Simba SC Statistics & Analysis

Kagera Sugar Kagera Sugar
Aug 16, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.01
2 1.59
xG Accuracy: 68%
Simba SC Simba SC
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Simba SC Simba SC ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-2 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 11, 2026 · 01:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3609890

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Simba SC win · Kagera Sugar 0–2 Simba SC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Ligi Kuu Bara
  • Fixture: Kagera Sugar vs Simba SC
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-16 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 22.5% · Draw 28.2% · Away 49.3%
  • xG (showing): Kagera Sugar 1.01 — Simba SC 1.59 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.2% · No 47.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.2% · No 47.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (11.9%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Ligi Kuu Bara Ligi Kuu Bara — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 18
2 Simba SC 5 5 0 0 15
3 Azam FC 6 4 2 0 14
4 Singida Fountain Gate 6 3 1 2 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 7
12 Kitayosce 6 1 3 2 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6
14 Singida Big Stars 6 1 1 4 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 2
16 Pamba Jiji 6 0 1 5 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Young Africans 6 16 2 +14 18
2 Singida Fountain Gate 6 13 9 +4 10
3 Azam FC 6 11 5 +6 14
4 Simba SC 5 9 2 +7 15
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 9 7 +2 10
6 Geita Gold 6 9 8 +1 7
7 JKT Tanzania 6 7 10 -3 7
8 Mbeya City 6 6 4 +2 10
9 Mashujaa 6 6 6 0 9
10 Kitayosce 6 6 6 0 6
11 Coastal Union 6 6 9 -3 7
12 Namungo 7 6 11 -5 6
13 Kagera Sugar 6 5 14 -9 2
14 Dodoma Jiji 6 4 4 0 10
15 Pamba Jiji 6 4 13 -9 1
16 Singida Big Stars 6 2 9 -7 4
Ligi Kuu Bara Tanzania. Ligi Kuu Bara Pronostici