Niteroiense vs São Cristóvão RJ Statistics & Analysis

Niteroiense

Oct 03, 2026 - 18:00

1 1.33

0 1.27

xG Accuracy: 64%

São Cristóvão RJ

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Niteroiense Niteroiense ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11258646

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Niteroiense win · Niteroiense 1–0 São Cristóvão RJ

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Carioca Serie B2
Fixture: Niteroiense vs São Cristóvão RJ
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Niteroiense 1.33 — São Cristóvão RJ 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Carioca Serie B2 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Niteroiense	4	3	1	0	10
2	Duque de Caxias	4	3	0	1	9
3	Petrópolis	4	2	2	0	8
4	Artsul	4	2	2	0	8
5	Campo Grande	4	2	1	1	7
6	Goytacaz	4	2	1	1	7
7	São Cristóvão RJ	4	1	2	1	5
8	Serrano RJ	4	1	2	1	5
9	Macaé	4	1	1	2	4
10	Nova Cidade	4	0	1	3	1
11	Carapebus	4	0	1	3	1
12	Audax Rio	4	0	0	4	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Duque de Caxias	4	8	3	+5	9
2	Niteroiense	4	6	1	+5	10
3	Petrópolis	4	6	3	+3	8
4	Campo Grande	4	6	5	+1	7
5	Artsul	4	5	2	+3	8
6	Goytacaz	4	3	3	0	7
7	São Cristóvão RJ	4	3	3	0	5
8	Macaé	4	3	3	0	4
9	Nova Cidade	4	3	8	-5	1
10	Serrano RJ	4	2	3	-1	5
11	Audax Rio	4	2	8	-6	0
12	Carapebus	4	1	6	-5	1