Statistiche / Calcio / Mondo. Africa Cup of Nations - Women / Ghana W vs Cape Verde W

Ghana W vs Cape Verde W Statistics & Analysis

Ghana W Ghana W
Jul 29, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Cape Verde W Cape Verde W
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Ghana W Ghana W ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 14:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1455321

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ghana W win · Ghana W 2–0 Cape Verde W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Africa Cup of Nations - Women
  • Fixture: Ghana W vs Cape Verde W
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-29 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Ghana W 1.32 — Cape Verde W 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Africa Cup of Nations - Women Africa Cup of Nations - Women — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 7
2 Algeria Femminile 3 2 0 1 6
3 Senegal Femminile 3 1 1 1 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Morocco W 3 5 0 +5 7
2 Algeria Femminile 3 4 1 +3 6
3 Senegal Femminile 3 1 2 -1 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 7 -7 0