Statistiche / Calcio / Francia. National 2 - Gruppo C / Nîmes vs Troyes II

Nîmes vs Troyes II Statistics & Analysis

Nîmes Nîmes
Sep 12, 2026 - 16:00
4 1.42
0 1.18
xG Accuracy: 36%
Troyes II Troyes II
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Nîmes Nîmes ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7463607

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Nîmes win · Nîmes 4–0 Troyes II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: National 2 - Gruppo C
  • Fixture: Nîmes vs Troyes II
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
  • xG (showing): Nîmes 1.42 — Troyes II 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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National 2 - Gruppo C National 2 - Gruppo C — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Rumilly Vallières 2 2 0 0 6
2 Nîmes 2 2 0 0 6
3 Andrézieux-Bouthéon FC 2 1 1 0 4
4 Hyères 2 1 1 0 4
5 Hauts Lyonnais 2 1 1 0 4
6 Ouest Tourangeau 1 1 0 0 3
7 Fréjus St-Raphaël 2 1 0 1 3
8 Saint-Priest 2 1 0 1 3
9 Tolone 2 0 2 0 2
10 Bourges Foot 18 2 0 2 0 2
11 Chasselay MDA 1 0 1 0 1
12 Limonest 2 0 1 1 1
13 Istres 2 0 1 1 1
14 Châteauroux 2 0 1 1 1
15 Troyes II 2 0 1 1 1
16 Canet Roussillon 2 0 0 2 0
17 Lyon Duchère 2 0 0 2 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Rumilly Vallières 2 10 1 +9 6
2 Nîmes 2 6 1 +5 6
3 Andrézieux-Bouthéon FC 2 3 1 +2 4
4 Hyères 2 3 2 +1 4
5 Fréjus St-Raphaël 2 3 3 0 3
6 Hauts Lyonnais 2 2 1 +1 4
7 Limonest 2 2 3 -1 1
8 Saint-Priest 2 2 4 -2 3
9 Lyon Duchère 2 2 9 -7 0
10 Ouest Tourangeau 1 1 0 +1 3
11 Tolone 2 1 1 0 2
12 Bourges Foot 18 2 1 1 0 2
13 Chasselay MDA 1 1 1 0 1
14 Istres 2 1 2 -1 1
15 Canet Roussillon 2 1 5 -4 0
16 Châteauroux 2 0 1 -1 1
17 Troyes II 2 0 3 -3 1
National 2 - Gruppo C Francia. National 2 - Gruppo C Pronostici