Statistiche / Calcio / Francia. National 2 - Gruppo C / Istres vs Châteauroux

Istres vs Châteauroux Statistics & Analysis

Istres Istres
Oct 02, 2026 - 18:30
0 1.34
0 1.26
xG Accuracy: 49%
Châteauroux Châteauroux
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Istres Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11254397

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Istres 0–0 Châteauroux
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: National 2 - Gruppo C
  • Fixture: Istres vs Châteauroux
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Istres 1.34 — Châteauroux 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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National 2 - Gruppo C National 2 - Gruppo C — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Nîmes 6 5 1 0 16
2 Hyères 6 3 3 0 12
3 Tolone 6 3 2 1 11
4 Chasselay MDA 5 2 3 0 9
5 Ouest Tourangeau 5 2 3 0 9
6 Hauts Lyonnais 6 2 3 1 9
7 Rumilly Vallières 6 3 0 3 9
8 Fréjus St-Raphaël 6 3 0 3 9
9 Andrézieux-Bouthéon FC 6 2 2 2 8
10 Troyes II 6 2 1 3 7
11 Saint-Priest 6 1 3 2 6
12 Limonest 5 1 2 2 5
13 Bourges Foot 18 5 0 4 1 4
14 Istres 6 0 4 2 4
15 Châteauroux 5 0 3 2 3
16 Lyon Duchère 6 1 0 5 3
17 Canet Roussillon 5 0 2 3 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Nîmes 6 15 3 +12 16
2 Rumilly Vallières 6 15 8 +7 9
3 Hyères 6 11 4 +7 12
4 Tolone 6 9 5 +4 11
5 Chasselay MDA 5 9 5 +4 9
6 Andrézieux-Bouthéon FC 6 9 8 +1 8
7 Fréjus St-Raphaël 6 9 10 -1 9
8 Hauts Lyonnais 6 7 7 0 9
9 Saint-Priest 6 7 11 -4 6
10 Troyes II 6 6 11 -5 7
11 Lyon Duchère 6 6 16 -10 3
12 Ouest Tourangeau 5 5 3 +2 9
13 Limonest 5 5 8 -3 5
14 Canet Roussillon 5 3 10 -7 2
15 Istres 6 2 6 -4 4
16 Bourges Foot 18 5 1 2 -1 4
17 Châteauroux 5 1 3 -2 3