Statistiche / Calcio / Francia. National 2 - Gruppo C / Lyon Duchère vs Rumilly Vallières

Lyon Duchère vs Rumilly Vallières Statistics & Analysis

Lyon Duchère Lyon Duchère
Aug 22, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.29
7 1.31
xG Accuracy: 19%
Rumilly Vallières Rumilly Vallières
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Rumilly Vallières Rumilly Vallières ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-7 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 07:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4263579

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Rumilly Vallières win · Lyon Duchère 1–7 Rumilly Vallières
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: National 2 - Gruppo C
  • Fixture: Lyon Duchère vs Rumilly Vallières
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Lyon Duchère 1.29 — Rumilly Vallières 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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National 2 - Gruppo C National 2 - Gruppo C — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Nîmes 5 5 0 0 15
2 Hyères 5 3 2 0 11
3 Tolone 5 2 2 1 8
4 Ouest Tourangeau 4 2 2 0 8
5 Hauts Lyonnais 5 2 2 1 8
6 Troyes II 5 2 1 2 7
7 Andrézieux-Bouthéon FC 5 2 1 2 7
8 Rumilly Vallières 5 2 0 3 6
9 Chasselay MDA 4 1 3 0 6
10 Fréjus St-Raphaël 5 2 0 3 6
11 Limonest 4 1 2 1 5
12 Saint-Priest 5 1 2 2 5
13 Bourges Foot 18 4 0 4 0 4
14 Istres 5 0 3 2 3
15 Lyon Duchère 5 1 0 4 3
16 Châteauroux 4 0 2 2 2
17 Canet Roussillon 5 0 2 3 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Nîmes 5 14 2 +12 15
2 Rumilly Vallières 5 11 7 +4 6
3 Hyères 5 10 3 +7 11
4 Tolone 5 8 5 +3 8
5 Andrézieux-Bouthéon FC 5 8 7 +1 7
6 Fréjus St-Raphaël 5 8 10 -2 6
7 Chasselay MDA 4 7 5 +2 6
8 Hauts Lyonnais 5 6 6 0 8
9 Troyes II 5 6 10 -4 7
10 Lyon Duchère 5 6 14 -8 3
11 Saint-Priest 5 5 9 -4 5
12 Limonest 4 4 4 0 5
13 Ouest Tourangeau 4 3 1 +2 8
14 Canet Roussillon 5 3 10 -7 2
15 Istres 5 2 6 -4 3
16 Bourges Foot 18 4 1 1 0 4
17 Châteauroux 4 1 3 -2 2
National 2 - Gruppo C Francia. National 2 - Gruppo C Pronostici